A massive strategic change is occurring in the world.
China is working overtime to use all strategic levers to maximise its self-interest, at the expense of USA (and the West).
I say this because China has sidelined USA in Asia and forced it to seek succour in Australian waters. On the other hand, it has browbeaten India in the South China sea and forced it to retreat. It has also browbeaten all nations that seek to support the Dalai Lama, particularly in Africa. It would be fair to say that China has taken over Africa.
And now with the rapidly growing BRIC grouping (with its intent to delink trade from the US dollar), it is building extensive support for dictatorial, anti-liberty Iran (which gives China clear leverage in the Middle East).
In this process China has roped in India, making India (under the current dispensation) an extremely unreliable partner for the West. Despite the recent defence linkages between Japan, US and India, expect India to become a Chinese satellite. All signs are that India will do the bidding of China than build bridges with "capitalist" West, particularly with US which has supported Pakistan on most occasions.
Remember: India was bitten badly by China in 1962. And while India is pallying up to China, it will be bitten badly again. But given the rampant corruption in India's defence force, and total inability to face the Chinese in battle, India seems to have no choice but to build alliances with China.
In this manner ALL developing nations and ALL ex-communist nations are now coming within Chinese influence. And China's grip is very subtle. Very strategic. Very smart. I admire its enormous strategic talent. Fearsome. That's the only word that comes to mind.
I predict that it is not long now before the Chinese dragon will start spitting fire if the USA and the West try to even remotely block its wishes.
The world's greatest power of the future has arrived.
Whether this will be good or bad is to be seen. (A reminder: India can be a great power in the future, but not with its current crop of petty, corrupt leaders. To take India to greatness requires very significant policy change which only FTI can bring about. That's not going to happen soon, from the way educated Indians FEAR politics. India is stuck in no man's land).
Addendum
http://www.indianexpress.com/news/south-china-sea-region-property-of-the-world-india/933485/
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China is rapidly outwitting USA – and the West; and converting India into its satellite state http://t.co/9SLZx39Q
China is rapidly outwitting USA – and the West; and converting India into its satellite state http://t.co/4rv3dYJW
RT“@sabhlok: China is rapidly outwitting USA – and the West; and converting India into its satellite state http://t.co/04rmMfSv”
Very well written Sanjeev. I am sharing it on my time line. Regards.
hi sir,
2 days back i checked the eonomic freedom index for 2012. India is 123rd and china was 138th so if they’re less free how the hell are they managing this all round development?
Good question. First, there is little difference between the two ranks.
Most importantly, the answer lies in the centralised use of markets. China has centralised power very strongly, which allows it to “fine tune” and use only those aspects of the market it want to use. This is not a sustainable solution and China’s growth has led to enormous social unrest which it is (in many cases) finding difficult to cope. China is trying parts of the Singapore model (strong leadership) without understanding that opportunities must be uniformly achieved by all. It can’t become a great power with this style.
The second answer lies in its governance institutions which are clearly superior to India’s. In other words it is able to provide infrastructure and such things for its (centralised) businesses which India is unable to do.
On average, there is little to distinguish between India’s and China’s socialist ‘market’ models today. Both are nowhere in the range of what is needed to call these free societies. India is more free on certain aspects, China more free on a few others. Both are essentially unfree. Both are MISERABLE performers.
If you compare with nations that were much poorer than them 60 years ago (like S.Korea), these two are barely reaching per capita levels that S.Korea reached 40 years ago. After 60 years! And their models can NEVER achieve what S.Korea (or the West) have achieved.
Both need a very significant dose of freedom.
s
hasn’t china already become a gr8 power as you say in this post and top chinese leaders are as or more corrupt than India’s but they do their work.. so if there’s a road to be built then the chinese leaders fill their pockets and make sure the roads are top notch as well and india they mix sand with concrete – thts the way i understand it. I dont know wht centralized markets are and on poverty – china has brought down poverty to gr8 extent and increased literacy compared to India so with freedom or without it I say CHINA is doing just fine.
Dear Allwyn, China should have been more than 8 times its current size by now had it adopted policies of liberty in the 1950s. India would have been 10 times its current size.
The sheer size of population means that both China and India are now a medium sized chunk of the world economy. But these two should have been far bigger.
Liberty is also good for the human being. It is pointless being rich but a slave.
Why is it so hard to explain liberty to Indians? (and Chinese?)
Their standards are so low.
s